What is 5G and how far are we from rollout?
4G's successor promises 1ms latency and multi-Gbit/sec bandwidth, but can it deliver?
In May 2019, the UK’s first functional 5G networks went live, with EE taking the crown as the first mobile operator to offer 5G plans in the country.
Many smartphone manufacturers, like Huawei, Samsung, and most recently Apple, have launched 5G-enabled devices that allow consumers to access theoretical maximum download speeds of 10-50Gbps. The way we socialise and work has been transformed by smartphones and other internet-connected devices, making 5G extremely important to our daily activities.
Businesses are rapidly curating more tech and generating more data, which is driven by the rise in internet-connected technology known as the Internet of Things (IoT). This shift has required a faster, stronger, and more reliable internet connection, with 5G finally appearing to be the answer to this challenge.
Once 5G is fully implemented, it is set to take over the old generation of network connectivity by powering new technologies like cloud computing, AI, smart cities, and autonomous transport. For many internet and telecommunication providers, construction of 5G infrastructure is already well underway.
4G will fade away
Even though 5G isn’t available just yet, this hasn’t stopped people from thinking about how it can be used. It is set to provide low latency, faster download speeds, and more connectivity and capacity for billions of devices, especially in the areas of IoT, virtual reality (VR), and artificial intelligence (AI). Research hints that 5G sensors connected to these systems will bring about better-informed and faster business decisions.
However, with 5G not expected to be widespread until at least 2025, 4G will still be in high demand.
"While 5G demand is still gathering momentum, 4G will remain an important part of the wireless ecosystem," said Tata Communications COO John Hayduk. "But it's expected that by 2025 investment and innovation in 4G will slow down as 5G takes prominence. In tandem, older 2G and 3G systems will begin to disappear from some markets altogether."
5G will be expensive
It's unlikely people will be queueing up to buy 5G mobile contracts when the technology becomes more widely available, Hayduk adds. Current plans are expensive, and the technology remains unavailable for large swathes of the country. Mobile operators will charge their earliest customers a lot for 5G while they try to get a quick return on their spectrum investments, Hayduk argued, correctly, last year.
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"In Europe and the US, operator strategies that are not built around 5G are rare. It strikes me however that it is bold to assume that consumers will take up 5G the moment it's available and that 5G will underpin the modern digital business from day one. The economics of providing 5G connectivity will make it difficult for mobile operators to drive costs low enough to make moving to 5G tempting for users," he said.
"Operators are spending huge amounts of money just for the spectrum space to provide 5G connectivity, and they will have to pass the cost on to their customers. Increasingly price-sensitive consumers won't stand for price rises and will stick with 4G. They will change their behaviours, picking and choosing which apps are stationary and which are mobile. They will use WiFi for data-hungry video and VR apps, created for a 5G world, which will remain stationary."
5G standards are needed
Verizon has already begun rolling out its 5G services to consumers, with leading firms such as Korea Telecom and EE claiming to soon follow, but there's a clear difference between rhetoric and action. Dr William Webb, a fellow at the Institute for Electrical and Electronic Engineering and CEO of the Weightless SIG, said common standards are needed if 5G is to evolve.
"Because the definition of 5G is so vague, it's hard to say far we are from rollout. If 5G is just whatever we rollout in say 2020, then by definition we're three years from rollout -- but what that will be and how different it will be from what we have today? Korea Telecom claims it will deploy 5G this year, ready for the Winter Olympics, and Verizon also aims to start fibre-replacement deployment this year or next," he said.
"However, without any standards, whatever they deploy is not a globally agreed solution. Some suggest that a 'real' 5G – with a carefully developed and worthwhile new technology -- might not occur until 2025. It's all a bit of a mess. Many expect that the standardisation process will act as a filter, delivering what collectively is determined to be important and viable, and then we will label whatever arrives as 5G, perhaps around 2018-2020."
The International Telecommunication Union - a wing of the UN dedicated to the oversight of telecommunications technology across the world - answered one of the crucial questions around 5G: what it actually is. In a draft document, the organisation stated that in order to qualify as 5G, a network cell must deliver a minimum peak data rate for downloads of 21GB/sec and an uplink peak data rate of 10GB/sec. Maximum latency is also set at 4ms.
This means the minimum standards are set for the UK, although of course, providers could exceed them.
5G will be huge for IoT
The internet has grown exponentially since its birth and with the rise of connected technology and appliances, it's set to get even bigger. The Internet of Things (IoT) is an industry that'll be worth trillions by the 2020s, and billions of everyday objects will be connected to the web. To support this new revolution, a stronger, denser type of mobile connectivity is needed, and 5G will soon fill this void.
Mark Skilton, a professor of practice at Warwick Business School, said 5G will be designed to support the future technological economy. 4G has been paramount in the rise of mobile apps and social media networks, but 5G will have a major role in supporting the future of connected tech such as driverless cars and smart sensors.
"5G performance and architecture is a fundamentally different technology and capabilities to 4G and all other previous networks. With 1 to10 Gbits/sec bandwidth; 1ms latency and supporting a density of 100 or more devices in any given room size location, it's truly instant, always-on, and able to download the equivalent of a whole movie in a few seconds," he told us.
"This is the new competitive level of performance for the 21st-century economy. It enables real-time mission, critical rapid response - such as connected self-driving cars, Internet of things sensors, mobile devices that will drive connected buildings, smart cities, savings energy, and new skills and services."
For 5G to be a success – and if the UK is to become a leader in this area – Skilton suggested that more cooperation between government and the telecoms industry is needed. "Overall the 5G move in the UK will not happen without strategic leadership from government, industry and enlightened academic research. It's a rapidly moving, complex and expensive endeavour that will need collaboration with other leading cities and countries to leverage economies of scale and accelerate solutions into practice," he said.
When 5G rolls out across the world, it'll be huge. By the time it's the dominant mobile connectivity standard, internet-connected objects and services are likely to be all around us. Technology will be far more immersive than it is now, and 5G will be a catalyst for it all. However, there's still a plethora of challenges ahead and the industry is in desperate need of standards to ensure that 5G is a success.
When will 5G be available to all in the UK?
In 2016, the UK government dedicated £16 million for 5G research conducted by the Universities of Bristol and Surrey, as well as King's College London, with the intention of delivering an end-to-end 5G trial network by 2018.
The following year, then-chancellor of the exchequer Philip Hammond emphasised the importance of investing in new technologies and improving the UK’s networking infrastructure. Out of the £500 million budgeted by the government for new technological innovations, £160 million was set aside for new 5G infrastructure. This included a £10 million project with the NCSC as well as £5 million for trial of 5G networks.
That same month, network operator EE became the first UK provider to deliver a successful 5G lab test, achieving impressive download speeds of 2.8Gbps. Also at the time, EE, as well as Three, were embroiled in legal proceedings with regulator Ofcom, with the two network operators being against the regulations surrounding the planned 5G spectrum auction. Three tried to have a 30% cap placed on the auction, a move that would have blocked larger providers from bidding against smaller rivals.
However, EE, owner of the largest 4G network at the time, argued that it shouldn't be restricted by a cap. Ofcom accused EE and Three of derailing the rollout of the technology, as the spectrum auction was widely considered to be a major step towards building the groundwork for 5G.
The case was escalated to the Court of Appeal, where, in February 2018, a swift deliberation upheld Ofcom’s decision to continue with the auction.
Nonetheless, despite the final ruling, the ensuing legal battles became a clear sign that the government was finding it challenging to balance the need for 5G innovation with the demands of mobile operators.
As of today, the 5G spectrum auction still hasn’t taken place, with Ofcom most recently postponing the start of the bidding process until March 2021. In its announcement, the regulator stated that it was “closely monitoring the coronavirus situation”, suggesting this was the cause of the latest delay.
As of November 2020, the UK’s 5G coverage was found to be at only around 30%, despite being an early leader in 5G rollouts. The Cost-benefit Analysis of 5G by Market Segment report rated the UK as ‘average’ among European countries, with the country lagging behind frontrunners such as Switzerland and Finland.
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